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International Futures (IFs) is a global integrated assessment model designed to help in thinking strategically and systematically about key global systems (economic, demographic, education, health, environment, technology, domestic governance, infrastructure, agriculture, energy and environment) housed at the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. Initially created by Barry B. Hughes of the Josef Korbel School of International Studies at the University of Denver in Colorado,〔Documentation can be found at http://www.ifs.du.edu regarding the history of IFs, specifically http://www.ifs.du.edu/ifs/IfsWebSite/IFs%20History.htm gives an overview of the different generations of IFs development. See this for a TEDx talk about the model: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=at47WLuA8Ks〕 the model is free for public use in both its online and downloadable forms.〔Barry Hughes,and Evan Hillebrand Paradigm Publishing, 2006〕 The Pardee Center for International Futures has partnered with many organizations to produce forecasts and data analysis. IFs has been utilized in the National Intelligence Council's ''Global Trends 2020'', ''Global Trends 2025'', and ''Global Trends 2030'' report.〔See (''Mapping the Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Report'' ) and (''Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World'' ) and (''Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds'' ) Director of National Intelligence〕 The International Futures model has also contributed to the United Nations ''Human Development Report''〔(''Forecasting the Impacts of Environmental Constraints on Human Development'' )〕 and the ''Global Environmental Outlook''. IFs is hosted free for public use by Google Public Data Explorer, the Atlantic Council, and the Institute for Security Studies.〔For hosts of the web-based version of the model, see International Futures on (Google Public Data Explorer ), The Atlantic Council and the (Strategic Foresight Initiative ), and the Institute for Security Studies, as a part of the (African Futures Project ). Additionally, the web version of the model is found on the (International Futures ) website.〕 == Model structure == The model incorporates dynamically linked sub-models. They include: population, economic, agricultural, educational, energy, socio-political, international political, environmental, health, infrastructure and technology.〔(Elements of International Futures ), a structural explanation of the IFs model with block diagram.〕 IFs is a unique modeling tool because it endogenizes the impact of such a wide range of global systems for 183 countries. The help system that accompanies the software〔(Index )〕 provides an extensive overview of the model structure and computer code used to write the model. IFs has three main functions, all connected to its conceptual treatment of integrated assessment forecasts: data analysis, scenario analysis, and display.〔An extended introductory video is found here: http://vimeo.com/11090851〕 抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア（Wikipedia）』 ■ウィキペディアで「International Futures」の詳細全文を読む スポンサード リンク
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